Pre-tourney Rankings
Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.9#116
Expected Predictive Rating+7.0#77
Pace73.0#79
Improvement+1.4#124

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#108
First Shot+4.6#49
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#310
Layup/Dunks+1.1#141
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#314
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#18
Freethrows+0.0#182
Improvement-1.4#257

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#138
First Shot+3.1#84
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#317
Layups/Dunks+3.7#44
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#101
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#289
Freethrows+0.9#122
Improvement+2.8#55
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round10.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b1.0 - 1.01.0 - 2.0
Quad 23.0 - 2.04.0 - 4.0
Quad 39.0 - 4.013.0 - 8.0
Quad 410.0 - 1.023.0 - 9.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 89   East Tennessee St. W 74-68 54%     1 - 0 +8.9 +4.0 +5.0
  Nov 09, 2018 130   @ Montana L 74-81 44%     1 - 1 -1.5 -1.6 +0.5
  Nov 13, 2018 203   Mercer W 62-60 81%     2 - 1 -3.4 -9.2 +6.0
  Nov 19, 2018 119   St. Bonaventure W 75-65 51%     3 - 1 +13.6 +8.6 +5.2
  Nov 20, 2018 49   Creighton L 68-93 27%     3 - 2 -14.9 -6.8 -6.0
  Nov 21, 2018 115   Georgia W 91-67 50%     4 - 2 +27.9 +21.4 +6.8
  Nov 28, 2018 282   @ Tulane W 80-76 78%     5 - 2 -0.1 +7.8 -7.9
  Dec 01, 2018 90   @ Liberty L 52-78 34%     5 - 3 -17.8 -11.6 -9.1
  Dec 04, 2018 55   @ Alabama W 83-80 23%     6 - 3 +14.7 +11.4 +3.0
  Dec 12, 2018 265   Chattanooga W 95-88 88%     7 - 3 -1.9 +9.9 -12.3
  Dec 15, 2018 21   @ Kansas St. L 59-71 11%     7 - 4 +5.3 -0.8 +6.0
  Dec 19, 2018 263   UNC Wilmington W 86-71 88%     8 - 4 +6.2 +6.9 -0.4
  Jan 03, 2019 150   @ Texas Arlington W 63-58 50%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +8.8 -5.1 +14.0
  Jan 05, 2019 138   @ Texas St. W 73-69 46%     10 - 4 2 - 0 +9.0 +4.0 +4.9
  Jan 10, 2019 178   Louisiana W 89-76 77%     11 - 4 3 - 0 +9.3 +7.1 +1.5
  Jan 12, 2019 145   Louisiana Monroe W 74-73 69%     12 - 4 4 - 0 -0.2 -6.1 +5.9
  Jan 17, 2019 214   @ South Alabama W 69-66 65%     13 - 4 5 - 0 +2.9 -7.1 +9.9
  Jan 19, 2019 249   @ Troy L 75-77 73%     13 - 5 5 - 1 -4.6 +5.2 -9.9
  Jan 24, 2019 138   Texas St. L 68-81 67%     13 - 6 5 - 2 -13.6 +3.4 -18.0
  Jan 26, 2019 150   Texas Arlington W 77-71 71%     14 - 6 6 - 2 +4.3 +7.1 -2.8
  Feb 02, 2019 111   Georgia Southern W 81-72 59%     15 - 6 7 - 2 +10.4 +3.5 +6.4
  Feb 06, 2019 145   @ Louisiana Monroe L 76-82 48%     15 - 7 7 - 3 -1.6 -3.1 +1.8
  Feb 08, 2019 178   @ Louisiana L 72-76 58%     15 - 8 7 - 4 -2.1 -2.0 -0.2
  Feb 13, 2019 249   Troy W 77-63 87%     16 - 8 8 - 4 +5.9 -2.2 +7.9
  Feb 15, 2019 214   South Alabama W 90-81 82%     17 - 8 9 - 4 +3.4 +4.7 -2.2
  Feb 21, 2019 201   @ Appalachian St. W 80-75 64%     18 - 8 10 - 4 +5.3 +7.7 -2.3
  Feb 23, 2019 167   @ Coastal Carolina L 82-95 57%     18 - 9 10 - 5 -10.8 -1.7 -7.3
  Feb 28, 2019 248   Arkansas St. W 76-60 87%     19 - 9 11 - 5 +7.9 +0.6 +7.9
  Mar 02, 2019 229   Arkansas Little Rock W 83-70 84%     20 - 9 12 - 5 +6.3 +2.8 +2.6
  Mar 09, 2019 111   @ Georgia Southern W 90-85 38%     21 - 9 13 - 5 +12.0 +14.5 -2.8
  Mar 16, 2019 138   Texas St. W 59-46 57%     22 - 9 +15.2 -9.9 +25.2
  Mar 17, 2019 150   Texas Arlington W 73-64 61%     23 - 9 +10.0 +1.1 +8.7
Projected Record 23.0 - 9.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.3 0.0 7.9 55.1 36.9 0.1
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 7.9 55.1 36.9 0.1